President Donald Trump intends to impose a border tax on companies that move some operations overseas, according to The Wall Street Journal. Among those listening closely: Technology companies and businesses with current or future offshore IT outsourcing strategies.
In a meeting attended by Michael Dell and several other business leaders, Trump today said: "If you go to another country...we are going to be imposing a very major border tax,” the Journal reported. How big a tax? That remains to be seen.
Depending on the figure, Trump's stance could introduce challenges for IT service providers and MSP-friendly companies -- many of which leverage outsourced help desks and other IT offerings from India and the Philippines. Foreign outsourcing giants like Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys and Wipro also are watching the situation closely.
India, Philippines IT Outsourcing vs. Trump Tax
Indian IT services companies have been bracing for anti-outsourcing sentiment ever since Trump's inaugural speech emphasized an America-first message, according to the Economic Times of India. "The $150-billion Indian outsourcing industry has been a favorite punching bag of American politicians for over a decade," the Times said. "But this time around, things are more serious to be dismissed as just an election rhetoric."
Companies headquartered in India aren't the only ones that could potentially suffer. Most major U.S.-based technology giants -- and some MSP software companies -- have offshore operations in India.
Meanwhile, business process outsourcing (BPO) is booming in the Philippines -- though concerns about Trump's potential policies are rising.
The Philippines IT and business process outsourcing industry employs more than 1.1 million people directly, with an estimated 70 percent of its business coming from the United States, according to Financial Times. The sector is targeting annual revenues of $40 billion and 1.8 million jobs by 2022, the report said.
Now, the big question: Can the Philippines hit those targets if the Trump administration imposes trade taxes on such services? Hmmm...
Cost of IT Labor: Here Comes Inflation?
There's a potential irony to all the Trump tax talk. Trump's motivation certainly sounds reasonable to some Americans, especially those who have lost jobs that were outsourced to foreign companies. Let's assume Trump's plan to tax offshore outsourcing actually inspires some U.S. companies to bring some jobs back to U.S. soil.
Will that really lead to a rising tide for all boats here in the U.S.? That's doubtful.
- The potential upside: Gainful employment for IT workers who return to U.S. payrolls.
- The potential downside: Higher IT support prices -- which vendors will surely need to pass onto customers. And we're not just talking about a few selected services. Every Fortune 500 company likely leverages some form of offshore outsourcing. And many U.S.-based companies could actually become less competitive -- not more competitive -- as they strive to deal with artificial pricing barriers from President Trump.
Somewhere within all this rhetoric there's a middle ground -- an opportunity for U.S. companies to innovate and hire, while leveraging outsourcing when it truly makes sense... ... ...